Wednesday, November 9, 2016

Kudos to USC for predicting Trump's win!

Against all the predictions of the pundits, pollsters and polling groups, Donald Trump has won enough electoral seats to become the next president of the USA. Well except one, that is from my alma mater USC, Los Angeles, which in a joint study with LA Times, had predicted more than a month ago that their polling of randomly selected but constant 4000-5000 participants in the survey made over a long period of time showed that Trump will win the election.
It is worth-noting that the USC-LA Times group has also been correct in predicting other previous elections.
So, while I am concerned about the direction USA is heading to in coming months with Trump's win to the highest post in the land, I am nonetheless glad to see that the USC polling group was able to correctly predict this highly polarized and yet most difficult to predict election so correctly.
Kudos to the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles Times for a good job in this field, often considered a black magic of prediction, showing once again the power of good sampling in such polling studies!

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