Message from Maung Zarni
18 May 2026 - Dozens of planes carrying ammunition from US bases in Germany have landed in Israel, Channel 13 reports
17 May 2026 - Trump on Truth Social: “For Iran, the Clock is Ticking, and they better get moving, FAST, or there won’t be anything left of them. TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE!”
17 May 2026 - Axios: Trump is expected to meet Tuesday with his national security team to discuss possible military options
18 May 2026 - Iran sends revised 14-point proposal to Washington through Pakistan to end war
17 May 2026 - Circulating documentation and reports indicate that a US MQ-9 drone was shot down over Marib Governorate in Yemen
18 May 2026 - Yemen’s Houthis shot down US drone in Marib: report
17 May 2026 - AryJeay on X: “The UAE says 3 drones “from the west” entered its territory and one drone struck the electrical generator outside the inner perimeter of the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant, in the Al Dhafra Region. West region can mean Saudi Arabia, Iraq, or Yemen.”
16 May 2026 - The Hormuz Letter on X: “A massive explosion has been reported near Sdot Micha Air Base in Beit Shemesh, Israel’s reported missile and nuclear storage site, with residents hearing a loud blast. Kan News claims it was a ‘controlled explosion’ at a civilian factory.”
17 May 2026 - Saudi Arabia’s Defense Ministry says three drones entering the kingdom’s airspace from Iraq were intercepted and destroyed
17 May 2026 - Iran’s Channel 3 female presenter just went on live TV holding a gun
16 May 2026 - Iranian TV goes FULL RIFLE LESSON on air
15 May 2026 - AryJeay on X: “They are teaching how to handle a gun on Iran’s national TV. This could mean that Iran is expecting a ground war and is therefore teaching the general population the basics.”
'Bitter Truths' -- Israel is Collapsing Under its ‘Permanent Security' Wars
PART 1 -- Conflicts Forum’s compilation of strategic perspectives from leading Israeli security commentators (predominantly translated from Hebrew), 18 May 2026
Alon Ben David: Trump’s 5-week window of opportunity for renewed military action begins now /
Amos Harel: As Trump Hesitates, Israel Acts as if Return to War Inevitable /
Major (res.) Yitzhak Brik: The “Bitter Truth” they are hiding — “The IDF is not fighting brilliantly” /
Col. (res.) Udi Evental: “War for War’s Sake” — America vs. Israel /
Maj. Gen. (res.) Tamir Hayman: ‘Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and missile production capabilities are largely intact underground’ /
Haaretz: IDF manpower shortage — IDF estimates that 75 % of approx. 80,000 people currently avoiding the draft are ultra-Orthodox Jews.
Under President Trump’s leadership America’s conduct overseas is reality tv. Trumpism creates drama through pomp and pulp: B-2 Bomber flyovers in Alaska, helicopter raids by moonlight in Caracas, bullying meek Eurocrats in the White House, tariffing Canada, threatening Greenland, and rebranding the Gulf of Mexico kept Americans riveted like a Christopher Nolan film. Unfortunately, rule by tweet entertains but it does not deliver.
Beneath the Barnum and Bailey bluster about US Military (USM) supremacy and an economy that is the "hottest anywhere in the world" Americans realize the Trump trailers are better than the feature film. The transformation of PROJECT FREEDOM, an operation designed to guide commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz (SOH), into PROJECT NOWHERE was a theater flop that went straight to DVD.
Trump’s Game of Thrones on behalf of Israel has backfired. Iran has the strategic upper hand in the Persian Gulf and Trump is trapped in a quagmire from which there is no easy exit or credible declared victory. How did this turn-of-fate happen so quickly and so decisively?
Read the full analysis here:
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